I ovulated! (I think) Even if I didn't, things are changing more than they have in the last 80+ days so thats a start.
Now the odds of this (supposed) ovulation resulting in pregnancy are pretty slim. I think there is typically a 25% chance each cycle, but because I had no clue when I might ovulate there was no strategic timing involved. So I am putting my chances at 15ish.
Ironically, the day I would do a preg test (assuming AF didn't show up) would be Christmas Day. Now If that test turns out to be positive I will believe in Santa!